Climate Change – Global Mega Trends Part 9

Whilst there is still a vocal minority that dispute anthropogenic climate change it is now accepted by the vast majority of the scientific community. The IPCC (2013) state warming of the climate caused by human influence is unequivocal and Cook et al. (2016) have showed in more than one study that 97% of scientists agree … Continue reading Climate Change – Global Mega Trends Part 9

Ecosystem Collapse – Global Mega Trend Part 8

Ecosystems around the world are coming under increasing pressure with significant potential impacts for the global population. These pressures are linked very much to the other global mega trends discussed in this series. Population growth (GMT 1) and urbanisation (GMT 2) first of all are literally increasing the global land area covered by our cities … Continue reading Ecosystem Collapse – Global Mega Trend Part 8

Intensified Global Competition for Resources – Global Mega Trends Part 7

The use of natural resources around the world has increased ten-fold since 1900 and is set to double again by 2030. This is a huge increase with a number of key drivers pushing consumption ever higher. Consumption first started to significantly increase at the onset of industrialisation which saw new technologies and population structures leading … Continue reading Intensified Global Competition for Resources – Global Mega Trends Part 7

The Multipolar World – Global Mega Trends Part 6

Continuing my series on global mega trends, this article focuses on what the European Environment Agency describes as the Multipolar World. Put simply, this is the emergence of new economic and political powers and the relative diminishment of the West. This gradual change represents a structural convergence with developing nations increasing in importance and developed … Continue reading The Multipolar World – Global Mega Trends Part 6

Global Mega Trends Part 5: Continued Economic Growth?

Continuing my series in response to the EEAs Global Mega Trends report, part 5 considers the recent history of continued economic growth and what this could mean in the future. Economic growth at its most basic is the result of population size and output per person. Since 1700, each has accounted for about half of … Continue reading Global Mega Trends Part 5: Continued Economic Growth?

Global Mega Trends Part 4: Accelerating Technological Change

Technological progress around the world is accelerating. This is particularly true in information, communication, nano- and bio-technology. Whilst it took electricity 50 years to reach 25% of the US population, the internet and smart phones took less than 10 years to achieve the same market share. Combined with the other global mega trends, particularly population … Continue reading Global Mega Trends Part 4: Accelerating Technological Change

Global Mega Trends Part 3: Changing Disease Burdens & Risks of Pandemics

The changes being outlined in this series of Global Mega Trends will inevitably have significant impacts on human health. The types of diseases and their prevalence will change according to many of the other trends described including: changing populations, urbanisation, mobility and climate change. One of the most significant drivers for these changes is environmental … Continue reading Global Mega Trends Part 3: Changing Disease Burdens & Risks of Pandemics

Global Mega Trends Part 2: Towards a More Urban World

Urban areas will absorb most of the population growth discussed in the first part of this series on global mega trends “Part 1: Diverging Global Population Trends”. By 2050, 67% of the projected 9.6 billion people on the planet will be living in cities. Increasing urbanisation is being driven by several key trends the most … Continue reading Global Mega Trends Part 2: Towards a More Urban World

Global Mega Trends Part 1: Diverging Global Populations Trends

Following some recent work reviewing long-term risks and opportunities in the construction industry I came across a publication from the European Environment Agency (2015) on the assessment of global mega trends. These are basically major shifts in economic, social or environmental circumstances which have the potential to change societies and impact on people and the … Continue reading Global Mega Trends Part 1: Diverging Global Populations Trends